Insights from Hong Kong

Posts Tagged ‘IMF’

Economist Conferences: Bellwether China – Well Timed, But Well Ventilated?

In China, Economics on 14 January 2013 at 12:04 PM

Yesterday mid-day in Beijing.

I leave tomorrow for Beijing. As usual I’m reviewing to ensure I have the necessary files. I checked in on-line for my flight and confirmed all my appointments. Now I need to rush out and buy a face mask. The surgical masks we have in the office for those suffering flu just won’t do.  Apparently the particles are finer and more pervasive. I need an industrial model.

Our client Economist Conferences is hosting their annual Bellwether China event on Wednesday. This ‘A List’ business event features high profile leaders, such as the keynote address from Zhu Min, Deputy managing director, International Monetary Fund. The event is well attended by leading business professionals, economists, academics, journalists, politicians and more.

(To follow the event on Twitter subscribe to @EC_Bellwether and follow the hashtag #BWChina.)

Thankfully the event is held indoors at The Sheraton Beijing Dongcheng Hotel. (I am doubly thankful as I am a loyal Starwood Preferred Guest member and enjoy their amazing properties every chance I get!) The air pollution levels make any outdoor activities damaging to your health. According to an article in Al Jazeera:

“On Saturday, the US embassy in Beijing, which monitors air quality from its rooftop and publishes pollution levels on a Twitter feed, described the pollution levels as “beyond index”.

Just as an FYI the Air Pollution Index (API) was designed to measure the amounts of particulates in the air. At 300 the index is rated as “Severely Polluted”. Some recordings have API topping out above 900 in Beijing today with no sign of a change any day soon. I’ll have my face mask, sinus tablets and asthma medicine in case I get a “once every five years” attack. 

Just before lunch tomorrow a panel will address the subject, “Will China save the world?”  An all-star line-up of economists and politicians will look at how the growth of China has thrown a lifeline to the rest of the world during the global financial crisis. Timely though will be a focus on the development of China and its own future especially if citizens are confined indoors due to toxic levels of air pollution.

I look forward to the Economist Bellwether China tomorrow in Beijing. I just hope the hotel’s ventilation can cope with the incredible strain of record-level pollution.

Al Jazeera’s comparison of Beijing with Chicago

Trapped Indoors? Tweet! Weibo Traffic Explodes

This weekend saw a dramatic increase in traffic on China’s main micro-blogging site, Sina Weibo (equivalent to Twitter). People normally out and about for the weekend were locked indoors with little to do. The comments on air pollution were trending well above normal.

Heavy Suitcases: China Pledges US$43 Billion to IMF

In China, Economics on 20 June 2012 at 1:46 PM

Hu Jintao is leaving Mexico lighter than when he arrived. As expected he stumped up significantly when the IMF (International Monetary Fund) passed the hat. To support a bailout rescue fund for Europe, China pledged US$43 billion.

Brazil’s Dilma Rousseff, Russia’s Vladimir Putin, India’s Manmahon Singh, China’s Hu Jintao and South Africa’s Jacob Zuma

The injection of cash at an opportune time will help China realise its goal of achieving greater influence in world dialogue.  The photo above shows the leaders of “emerging” or developing nations. Between them they represent a significant percentage of the world’s population. And when it comes to strong economies you can’t go past them.

The “Old World” order led by Britain, America, Germany and France has a disproportionate share of challenges. And while it may not be easy-going for these “New World” leaders, its time for them to assume the mantel of influence that is due given their strong contribution to the world economy.

 

G20 to China’s Hu Jintao: Bring Cash!

In China, Economics on 18 June 2012 at 2:00 PM

Australia’s got a new reality show to fascinate over. Called “Border Security” this profiles real-life customs and immigration officers on the beat. Whoever thought standing by an airport luggage carousel would make gripping national television?

Well before reality came to Australian Customs, there were cases where they would arrest travelers coming in from China. They weren’t smuggling drugs or rare jewels. Instead they were carrying suitcases of cash. Apparently they weren’t aware you needed to declare amounts over $10,000.  These investors were coming to Australia to buy houses.

Yesterday China’s President Hu Jintao flew into Mexico. He is at Los Cabos to attend the G20 World Leader Summit today and tomorrow.

Can I help you with your suitcases?

All newspapers report a G20 summit that will be dominated by talk of Greece, Spain and the future of the Euro. That doesn’t please China. Given the new world order, more attention at these meetings need to be devoted to developing nations – like China.

“We should continue to give high priority to development and promote growth of developing countries so as to increase total global demand,” said Hu in a written interview with Mexico’s Reforma newspaper.

And these developing nations should have a greater say in world affairs. After all, if China is going to contribute to the IMF (International Monetary Fund) it should have a say as to where the cash goes. To date China has not revealed how much has been given to the IMF. Officials say they will reveal the amounts “when they are ready.”

But that doesn’t sit easy with the USA. According to Ding Chun, an expert in European affairs at Fudan University, China will face resistance to gaining greater power in exchange for propping up Europe’s economies.

“The US, though it does not want Europe to collapse, will not give up its leading role in the IMF just for China to make more contributions,” said Chun (Source: SCMP)

Given the likelihood the G20 will fail to make any meaningful headway – and the tempting location of the conference in a Mexican seaside resort – I like the advice from Simon Nixon in The Wall Street Journal:

“Los Cabos in Mexico is by all accounts a delightful place: Chic hotels, excellent beaches and fine weather at this time of year. World leaders descending on the resort for this week’s G-20 summit should make the most of what it has to offer. Nothing they discuss is likely to make any difference to the crisis raging in the global economy.”

Perhaps Hu Jintao is better off checking his suitcases with the Bell Captain then heading off to enjoy the beaches of Cabos. I’m sure jet-boat rental companies take Renminbi.

Letting off Steam in Los Cabos, Mexico

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